Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff428a9a3e9bf015a190da4b591b8d29b4d31e64f63ce45585ec419cdbb69aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,196 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 8,032$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.46 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 5c | 4,991$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 4,082$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 2,320$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 11c | 2,280$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 10c | 2,049$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 921$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 7c | 894.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…3addbacked Yes | 9c | 750$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…35eabacked Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 6c | 630.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 6c | 575.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…9a10backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 7c | 444.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc068…113dbacked Yes | 6c | 366.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…8cebbacked Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 7c | 295$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 149.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 7c | 142.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…fc88backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.