Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x598945ea5f4e4bb2b102edcbd783d96a7ce0ec763b00753672b7c172e5210f4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,343,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,638,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,343,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 24c | 292,534$70,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,208.26 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 76c | 291,237$221,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,896.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 77c | 278,409$213,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,342.32 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 24c | 258,000$61,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,866.28 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 78c | 202,627$157,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,989.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 75c | 180,000$135,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,290.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 22c | 147,431$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 76c | 135,460$103,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,276.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 26c | 93,290$24,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,255.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 24c | 88,936$21,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,744.28 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes | 76c | 85,000$64,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 24c | 80,700$19,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,675 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 24c | 64,154$15,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,310.34 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 63,529$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,060.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 23c | 60,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked No | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 23c | 30,015$7,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,031.38 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 77c | 30,000$22,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,027.18 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes | 77c | 28,797$22,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 23c | 28,598$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.29 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 24c | 26,535$6,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.27 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 24c | 23,672$5,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.2 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 24c | 22,477$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.25 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 23c | 22,401$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 23c | 19,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 18,833$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 12c | 17,955$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 24c | 17,688$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…3cbebacked No | 24c | 15,682$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 23c | 15,065$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.03 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…d967backed Yes | 75c | 14,640$10,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…e9d1backed Yes | 75c | 14,200$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 76c | 14,000$10,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 78c | 12,877$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.84 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 15c | 10,278$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.73 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.86 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 22c | 8,520$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 25c | 8,018$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…b6a2backed No | 25c | 7,850$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 24c | 7,200$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.24 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…bcd9backed Yes | 76c | 6,852$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 23c | 6,123$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 76c | 6,052$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.48 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803b…3134backed No | 24c | 5,698$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…00eebacked No | 24c | 5,684$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 25c | 5,232$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.28 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 5,130$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 25c | 5,040$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 4,966$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.79 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 24c | 4,642$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.36 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 24c | 4,620$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 25c | 4,600$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 75c | 4,548$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 77c | 3,811$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.92 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 76c | 3,700$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 24c | 3,671$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 76c | 3,510$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 25c | 3,433$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7617…0982backed Yes | 75c | 3,376$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…1aefbacked Yes | 75c | 3,259$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 24c | 3,144$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 75c | 3,014$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.62 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…8247backed Yes | 76c | 2,990$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…57d5backed Yes | 76c | 2,836$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…6972backed Yes | 75c | 2,735$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 24c | 2,640$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 23c | 2,600$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73b…9766backed Yes | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Yes | 76c | 2,400$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…1173backed Yes | 76c | 2,394$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 26c | 2,283$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e9…e484backed Yes | 74c | 2,232$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 22c | 2,223$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 74c | 2,203$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 24c | 2,195$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…298dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,148$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 75c | 2,128$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 25c | 2,062$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 76c | 2,040$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked No | 24c | 2,040$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…e23ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,019$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 22c | 2,000$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.37 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.