Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70d1c2a252155e9b5cb2ba96ce5bb767d8182a015332b0492b2058989666cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,746,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,840,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,746,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 42c | 549,999$231,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,999.67 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 58c | 515,452$298,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,498.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 76c | 459,802$348,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,103.9 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…c735backed No | 44c | 449,112$196,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,568.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 58c | 290,000$167,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,782.42 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 42c | 137,149$57,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,931.17 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 57c | 115,329$65,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,371.91 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 106,590$39,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,469.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 42c | 89,885$37,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,751.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 81,950$46,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,776.27 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 57c | 77,000$43,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,109.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 43c | 72,116$31,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,009.7 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 42c | 70,849$29,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,756.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 44c | 65,937$29,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,136 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Yes | 80c | 61,925$49,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,385.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 42c | 61,000$25,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,620 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 43c | 60,972$26,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,217.88 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 58c | 60,493$34,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,661.79 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 43c | 58,140$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 57,302$35,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,043.24 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 43c | 55,429$23,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,959.22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 39c | 50,992$20,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,126.95 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 46,042$18,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,903.97 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 56c | 45,553$25,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,043.32 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 62c | 40,616$24,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,627.12 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.91 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 56c | 38,927$21,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,127.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 58c | 38,072$22,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,064.65 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 42c | 37,748$15,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,854.17 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 37,045$15,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,817.02 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 43c | 30,794$13,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,241.41 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 42c | 29,070$12,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,209.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Yes | 78c | 26,936$20,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 42c | 25,923$10,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,887.66 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 43c | 25,334$10,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,893.43 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 56c | 24,897$13,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,897.63 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…c521backed Yes | 57c | 24,340$13,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,466.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 40c | 21,020$8,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,388.17 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 58c | 20,160$11,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,410.92 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 18,888$7,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,932.96 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…2201backed No | 42c | 17,750$7,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,454.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…1dcebacked Yes | 58c | 17,230$9,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,236.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 58c | 17,200$9,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,223.96 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 42c | 16,000$6,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.97 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 58c | 15,831$9,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,704.71 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 42c | 15,219$6,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,391.99 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 40c | 13,965$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.75 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…6861backed Yes | 58c | 13,732$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,767.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 41c | 13,670$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.12 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…6a0cbacked No | 40c | 13,606$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.34 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.75 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Yes | 54c | 11,464$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes | 59c | 11,305$6,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Yes | 71c | 10,629$7,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 39c | 10,320$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.64 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.9 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 78c | 10,071$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.77 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 71c | 10,013$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.35 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 42c | 9,831$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 43c | 9,800$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 43c | 9,152$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.29 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes | 62c | 8,871$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.97 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 40c | 8,867$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 40c | 8,812$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.99 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 59c | 8,110$4,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes | 60c | 8,055$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 40c | 7,515$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…cd81backed Yes | 58c | 7,497$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 50c | 7,376$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.01 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 58c | 7,202$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.15 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed No | 41c | 7,180$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 7,122$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.39 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…2583backed No | 42c | 7,105$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 50c | 7,044$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.86 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.34per pick | 42cpaid | +137%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 61c | 7,036$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.07 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.55 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 6,869$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.43 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 6,355$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.98 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes | 57c | 6,140$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 59c | 6,000$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed No | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 42c | 5,900$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 58c | 5,840$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.92 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 39c | 5,793$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.26 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 43c | 5,547$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 59c | 5,508$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.95 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 40c | 5,500$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.99 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.