Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2cf86ae9dd3e765271c55837899403b5684d004787079de4940975343233c67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,816 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked FC Bayern München | 62c | 12,158$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,657.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 39c | 8,589$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.78 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 39c | 7,244$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.13 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 7,036$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.99 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 42c | 4,652$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 39c | 4,520$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.87 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 39c | 3,918$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.91 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 39c | 1,826$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.18 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 39c | 1,286$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 15c | 1,250$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked FC Bayern München | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 36c | 645.8$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked FC Bayern München | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked FC Bayern München | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 484.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 40c | 459$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked FC Bayern München | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed FC Bayern München | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 44c | 254.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed FC Bayern München | 70c | 252.86$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 54c | 214.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked FC Bayern München | 68c | 214.16$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 35c | 208.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 33c | 196.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 165.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb2…22e0backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 152.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked FC Bayern München | 61c | 143.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 143.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 141.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7a90backed FC Bayern München | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 36c | 119.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 109.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 93.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8def…59b2backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 89.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 31c | 88.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…4b91backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 79.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 75.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 37c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 40c | 62.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 35c | 62.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked FC Bayern München | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 56.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…5555backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 38c | 50.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked FC Bayern München | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 40c | 44.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 35c | 42.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34c | 39.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed FC Bayern München | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 45c | 35.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 32c | 34.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked FC Bayern München | 64c | 31.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…fb46backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 38c | 30.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…9858backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…c892backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…c23abacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 27.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…9315backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 27.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 40c | 27.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…03dfbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 38c | 26.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…3a1bbacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 25.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9261…9190backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 24.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked FC Bayern München | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 24.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.