Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab74cdeb9959f12e6d4d89184b65233a147ea75063b0ceb36e7783715172072d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,996 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 21,886$12,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,635.05 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 18,400$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,488 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 57c | 4,591$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.15 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 4,583$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 4,124$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.87 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 56c | 3,754$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 989.94$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.52 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 599.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.88 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 550$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 508.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 467.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 449.16$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.92 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 286.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 56c | 224.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 218.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.64 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed FC Bayern München | 79c | 215$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc1…f56cbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 212.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389f…afbcbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 205.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…e7aabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 187.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…4aa6backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 180.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 49c | 175.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…166fbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 166.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…38c9backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 165.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 161.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb5…14babacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 148$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 39c | 135.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…d35cbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 124.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…ba87backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 47c | 113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616e…6466backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 97.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…0e38backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…b5b8backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 91.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 84.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 72.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…6634backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9741backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 69.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 69.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 63.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 62.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 53c | 60.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked FC Bayern München | 46c | 60.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…3ddbbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 60c | 55.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…4a2dbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 50.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 50.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…1c9cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 46.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 45.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 42.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 38.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.