Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf35cb58a91148f301bfb02ccc0602843c444470c9711d418142b2be835454c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,320 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 42c | 4,700$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 2,197$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.3 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed No | 47c | 1,583$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 37c | 1,538$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.47 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 1,224$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.06 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 43c | 1,175$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.27 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…4487backed No | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 45c | 799.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 44c | 799.94$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 44c | 749.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 42c | 571.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 73c | 555.55$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 8c | 468.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +151%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked No | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 410.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 5c | 397.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 391.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 387.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 52c | 355.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 43c | 349.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed No | 22c | 325$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 53c | 264.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…49f7backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Yes | 54c | 213.04$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 60c | 203.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed No | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 45c | 148$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 142.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 57c | 138.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 57c | 137.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 47c | 115.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb16…d583backed Yes | 55c | 112.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 56c | 107.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 55c | 98.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8051…bed1backed Yes | 59c | 93.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 56c | 90.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 74.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 42c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 43c | 58.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 56c | 56.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 54.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 58c | 51.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Yes | 57c | 50.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…04e8backed No | 54c | 46.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed No | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 56c | 35.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 61c | 33.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 30.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…039ebacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…f6ebbacked No | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…23c6backed Yes | 54c | 28.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…1912backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e9…b583backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 53c | 23.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…13edbacked Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.