Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492638a1bc58dd05b786e8e0fbefd7b28fe1cfe5f94180174da98f862be12e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,405 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Under | 64c | 7,794$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 62c | 7,380$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 66c | 3,104$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 36c | 2,987$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.64 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Under | 66c | 2,578$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 35c | 1,881$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.44 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 36c | 1,826$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.07 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 29c | 1,674$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Under | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Under | 15c | 1,466$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 29c | 1,443$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.84 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 1,202$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.14 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 53c | 1,198$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.28 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 31c | 900$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 60c | 883.3$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.43 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 831.28$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.34 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Under | 74c | 824.36$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 55c | 704.94$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.74 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 61c | 621.9$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.36 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 36c | 575.61$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.39 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Under | 62c | 545$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 39c | 523.93$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Under | 53c | 500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 20c | 499.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.72 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 471.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…c1b7backed Under | 64c | 453.13$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 36c | 447.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 37c | 445.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.87 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…2867backed Under | 63c | 402$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Under | 61c | 399.97$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 63c | 386.27$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…4487backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…4082backed Over | 39c | 301.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 33c | 300$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1c…7b26backed Over | 39c | 283.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…b2b1backed Over | 39c | 278.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +142%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 38c | 256.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 240.66$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Under | 7c | 235$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Under | 64c | 231.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…aa8ebacked Over | 39c | 226.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 35c | 221.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803b…3134backed Under | 62c | 214.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 213.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 79c | 201.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Under | 63c | 196.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Under | 61c | 194.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 38c | 190.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…c863backed Under | 62c | 187.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…b09cbacked Over | 39c | 175.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…bc07backed Over | 37c | 169$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Under | 61c | 158.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…9205backed Under | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63d…700bbacked Under | 62c | 118.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 38c | 107.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…367ebacked Under | 62c | 106.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…bbbbbacked Under | 62c | 106.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 78c | 105.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…ae4ebacked Under | 62c | 103.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…5d46backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…c4f3backed Under | 62c | 95.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Under | 62c | 93.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 32c | 93.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 91.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 90.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…da6fbacked Under | 62c | 88.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…5edabacked Under | 62c | 85.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…7655backed Under | 62c | 83.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 37c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Under | 63c | 82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Under | 61c | 78.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…298dbacked Under | 62c | 76.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Under | 48c | 75.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 14c | 73.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…32cfbacked Under | 63c | 69.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.