Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82d883868400fb98efebdf57f63fd425a950682b1d51364c72a86fa268521e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,120,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,106,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,120,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 66c | 2,378,275$1,581,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581,272.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked No | 34c | 800,005$268,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532,003.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 34c | 451,110$151,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299,232.6 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 64c | 359,351$231,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,246.86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 313,022$113,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,860.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 34c | 304,858$103,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,454.83 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 36c | 280,126$100,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,881.53 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 34c | 225,683$76,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,794.13 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 34c | 212,892$72,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,968.94 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 37c | 126,291$46,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,657.94 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 65c | 123,077$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 63c | 114,725$72,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,276.77 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 106,659$68,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,540.77 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 36c | 93,299$33,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,416.61 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 35c | 92,700$32,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,638.5 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 74,167$47,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,498.24 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 65,650$22,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,687.99 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 33c | 65,050$21,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,583.42 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 33c | 62,349$20,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,773.83 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 64c | 54,688$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 53,285$19,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,647.57 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed No | 35c | 51,200$17,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,511 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 49,446$17,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,682.59 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 35c | 47,600$16,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,177.82 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 44,790$15,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,689.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…882dbacked Yes | 64c | 43,353$27,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,746 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 41,933$14,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,258.79 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 37c | 40,712$15,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,648.35 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 34c | 37,776$12,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,121.04 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 35c | 34,010$12,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,946.39 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 34c | 30,399$10,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,197.52 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 63c | 29,359$18,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,496.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 65c | 27,292$17,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,739.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 35c | 26,247$9,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,961.88 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 60c | 26,000$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,700 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 25,819$9,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,266.24 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 35c | 25,600$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,639.93 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 35c | 25,557$8,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,622.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 33c | 25,015$8,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,759.6 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 35c | 23,969$8,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,579.85 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 35c | 23,661$8,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,312.19 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 35c | 23,220$8,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,061.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,399.97 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 17,064$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.74 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 16,270$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,317.67 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 63c | 16,111$10,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,211.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 33c | 15,210$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,145.1 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 33c | 11,693$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819.2 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 11,325$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.11 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 34c | 11,067$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,322.65 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 34c | 10,752$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.74 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 36c | 10,003$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,401.78 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 9,708$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,625.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 36c | 9,100$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Yes | 54c | 9,010$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 64c | 8,828$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.93 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 34c | 8,363$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 33c | 8,347$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,591.11 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.88 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 35c | 7,800$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 65c | 7,694$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 64c | 7,607$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.39 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 63c | 7,530$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.34 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 7,501$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.71 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 61c | 7,500$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 11c | 7,124$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.07 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 63c | 7,114$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.69 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 33c | 7,110$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.06 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 6,950$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.79 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 68c | 6,795$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 37c | 6,378$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.38 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked Yes | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 36c | 6,084$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 37c | 6,054$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.92 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 65c | 6,011$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.54 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Yes | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 34c | 5,978$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.86 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 36c | 5,950$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 64c | 5,625$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…2d63backed Yes | 64c | 5,621$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 37c | 5,616$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.08 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 54c | 5,565$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 64c | 5,111$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.05 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.53 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6655backed No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 64c | 4,924$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.75 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 37c | 4,880$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.09 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 35c | 4,726$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 35c | 4,696$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.34 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 72c | 4,694$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.26 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 34c | 4,616$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.84 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 63c | 4,607$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 55c | 4,544$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.35 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.