TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$424,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes13c50,176$6,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,581.347945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes15c26,867$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,030.0710057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes16c26,785$4,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2965628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf98…6e3bbacked Yes0c11,850$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes14c6,546$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.3924146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Yes15c6,513$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.35944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c6,323$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.231,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes16c4,461$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.6868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes14c4,371$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.741,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434a…882dbacked Yes10c4,084$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5750%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a51…d23dbacked Yes10c3,634$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes16c3,450$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55219239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes14c2,866$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes14c2,800$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3784050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes69c2,666$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.4469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No31c2,604$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.5719743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x31b3…442cbacked Yes10c2,500$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes15c2,171$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes12c2,106$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.565127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes16c1,920$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.210956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes6c1,796$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.512832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes14c1,500$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.01160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes15c1,483$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.621,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes12c1,249$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0611430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes15c1,163$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.761,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes11c1,104$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3930666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes13c1,077$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Yes15c1,037$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes15c1,001$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1426229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…8592backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes15c999.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes14c950$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes15c936.17$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes28c906.92$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4916238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes12c835.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8219426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes13c720$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.823325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4728…f975backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes15c700.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0229427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes13c669.23$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes17c600.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes15c594.82$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6832453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes13c517.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.329343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes14c511.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes15c507.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8932222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405034%17 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf44d…68acbacked Yes14c499.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes15c454.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6318551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes10c451.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bc9…58b7backed Yes13c450$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes15c447.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.726546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c0a…4912backed Yes15c419.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed Yes14c369.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.125455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes15c368.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes15c335.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.849246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Yes15c334.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.53040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes15c320$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes43c317$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4425052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes12c300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes10c290$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306845.6%31 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9766…f196backed Yes12c270$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.350%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes16c268.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4336036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes15c263.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3214147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes15c234.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2330050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c04…0884backed Yes11c225.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes16c222.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6320027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733e…6190backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6336…b618backed Yes8c211.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…cb04backed Yes10c203.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-78%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532c…5e00backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9c…e271backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8363…d221backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7515350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…bb37backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a4…9bbebacked Yes8c176.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb6a…7b98backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes15c159.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes9c152.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0928736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805e…e345backed Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.