Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3696fbc94b14ad78dc0636fcf7986d83462afb3afc1a4979e2e8491d42413e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $424,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 13c | 50,176$6,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,581.34 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 15c | 26,867$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.07 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 16c | 26,785$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…6e3bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 14c | 6,546$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.39 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yes | 15c | 6,513$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 6,323$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.23 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 4,461$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.68 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 4,371$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.74 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…882dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,084$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…d23dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,634$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,450$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes | 14c | 2,866$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,800$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,666$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.44 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 31c | 2,604$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.57 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,171$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 12c | 2,106$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.56 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,920$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 6c | 1,796$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 1,483$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,249$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 15c | 1,163$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 11c | 1,104$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Yes | 15c | 1,037$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…8592backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes | 14c | 950$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 15c | 936.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 28c | 906.92$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 12c | 835.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 13c | 720$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 700.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 13c | 669.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 17c | 600.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 15c | 594.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 13c | 517.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 14c | 511.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 15c | 507.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 14c | 499.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 15c | 454.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes | 10c | 451.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…58b7backed Yes | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 15c | 447.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…4912backed Yes | 15c | 419.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 14c | 369.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 15c | 368.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 15c | 335.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Yes | 15c | 334.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 43c | 317$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 10c | 290$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…f196backed Yes | 12c | 270$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 16c | 268.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 15c | 263.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 15c | 234.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…0884backed Yes | 11c | 225.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 16c | 222.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…6190backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6336…b618backed Yes | 8c | 211.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…cb04backed Yes | 10c | 203.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -78%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532c…5e00backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…e271backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8363…d221backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…9bbebacked Yes | 8c | 176.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6a…7b98backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 15c | 159.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 152.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…e345backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.