TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No71c49,038$35,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,033.256,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes22c34,999$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,299.2910057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c31,796$9,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,507.934,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes22c27,114$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,148.645628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No41c19,887$8,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,190.318259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes72c15,253$10,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,278.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No79c9,930$7,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,844.710455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c5,477$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,271.721,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No18c5,458$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.362,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes58c4,966$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.781957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No79c4,301$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.817448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes22c4,182$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.8219239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed No23c3,961$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.957317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes55c3,059$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.763164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…f3b8backed Yes71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.32966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes23c2,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.923655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c2,100$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57522125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No79c2,044$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.7425551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes60c1,974$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.6825052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No33c1,947$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.9825530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No52c1,649$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.387275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes80c1,644$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9328736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…6655backed Yes48c1,595$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.974100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes43c1,572$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No30c1,373$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.848853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No78c1,336$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.089763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Yes80c1,333$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c1,333$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.852,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed No52c1,274$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.062536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes25c1,228$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.411446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Yes39c1,218$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.772839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes22c1,165$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.457332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes21c1,111$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.6912241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes21c1,031$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.055127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No78c1,010$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.86261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Yes48c1,004$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.47944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes66c1,000$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3452075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No78c986.58$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.5314147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes69c975.35$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.352850%14 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes74c876.43$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.436553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes66c798$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0124146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes58c774.72$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4516238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9db…a30ebacked Yes62c770.36$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.365100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.934367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes45c621.71$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe777…70c4backed Yes77c592.93$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No78c571.02$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.418950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes23c565.22$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.226855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No79c543.87$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.6520448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c533$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.7468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes51c510.51$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes21c500$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.759246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No37c488.31$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.631,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes59c457.63$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.633243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c456$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.751,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No27c443.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8218139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No78c442.94$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8930739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes53c405.58$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No58c405.34$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.118444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408046.3%37 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No79c391.14$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.637642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes77c385.64$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.798662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No32c375.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes45c366.67$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.673727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No34c344.8$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c338.87$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Yes22c334.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.563040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes70c317.17$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes65c310$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.513737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes21c300$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.256546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…202dbacked Yes48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes21c295.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6818551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes22c295.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No78c284.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes68c279.95$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes22c272.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.733844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6955…f54bbacked Yes22c263.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.641540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc9…fc76backed Yes68c252.72$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.781070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes21c237.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.276838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Yes64c224.7$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.892147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes22c222.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.735641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes22c218.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.184535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88be…2272backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c213.46$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.21,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes38c210.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.532339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0819654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes21c202.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a3…e375backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12412042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…d0f1backed Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1582100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+207.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Yes51c194.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.191752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.