TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,423,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,442,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,423,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes57c421,000$238,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238,981.931258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No43c367,523$157,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209,663.073141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked No42c300,239$126,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,816.322969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c223,341$142,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,099.244,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c162,126$94,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,582.4450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c154,351$65,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,965.31,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes43c130,994$55,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,718.865058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes45c115,432$52,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,325.015940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c94,898$53,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,040.7390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No43c74,310$31,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,356.592138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes59c70,613$41,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,530.659640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes58c65,777$38,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,475.531625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes57c43,860$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No43c43,839$18,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,930.637455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c33,868$22,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,418.591,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No42c33,726$14,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,631.447321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c32,552$13,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,778.972,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No42c29,986$12,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,292.031764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes44c28,477$12,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,585.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No44c24,706$10,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,835.439743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No41c23,753$9,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,014.013925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No44c21,826$9,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,222.558828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No41c21,000$8,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,389.8716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Yes59c19,150$11,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,298.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd303…b09bbacked No41c18,376$7,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,841.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No44c17,800$7,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,967.963240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…2ecfbacked Yes55c17,572$9,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,639.22922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick39cpaid+481.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No43c17,184$7,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,794.885950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No44c17,146$7,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,601.7610539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No76c15,776$11,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.796235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes34c15,531$5,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30123727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Yes57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5501533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No42c14,007$5,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,124.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes35c13,368$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,646.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c13,204$9,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.161,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e0…175cbacked Yes56c12,970$7,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,263.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes38c12,909$4,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,911.652161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+75.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed No44c12,000$5,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7741625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No41c12,000$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,079.855942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No44c11,800$5,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,607.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No42c11,738$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,831.9619255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No44c11,036$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,180.163444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No41c10,903$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,415.2264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No65c10,729$6,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.3169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes56c10,649$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.993345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe166…8f14backed Yes39c10,122$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,945650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No44c10,000$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,62013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c9,916$4,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,802.0279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No43c9,299$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,338.698334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes42c9,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7605052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…181cbacked Yes58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No42c8,000$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,676.893748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No42c8,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.952035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c7,825$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,616.7250249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No42c7,771$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,516.413946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No42c7,500$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6863…79fbbacked Yes54c7,395$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No43c7,150$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.471637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No42c7,143$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,142.867439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No75c6,930$5,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.466538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes59c6,796$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,030.2615646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No41c6,634$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.153145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No43c6,569$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.443246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes59c6,545$3,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,861.585453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c6,515$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.553,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No41c6,169$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.5532545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes34c6,096$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes59c5,893$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.015942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5091…db41backed Yes58c5,869$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.472661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7064…1b74backed Yes59c5,797$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+135.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes58c5,676$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.182857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No43c5,537$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.078041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No41c5,473$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.025141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No44c5,340$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.393941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbed…804ebacked Yes59c5,249$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…9310backed Yes58c5,181$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Yes58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.592227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No42c5,130$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+227.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8002532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed No41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.96825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No42c4,762$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.92548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No44c4,424$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.716243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes57c4,385$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.451450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes16c4,380$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.3980%0 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No43c4,200$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3941758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes30c4,172$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.278940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Yes57c4,052$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.641533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66cb…618ebacked Yes49c4,008$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.985742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes47c3,930$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.1926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes26c3,889$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No43c3,821$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.992326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c3,733$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.8392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes54c3,720$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0176160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.