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La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c51,527$17,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,015.864,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes19c20,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,2003839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes19c17,868$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,473.042138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c14,083$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,407.031,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No53c13,562$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c12,638$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,962.7490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes68c11,287$7,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.0460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes54c10,126$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,644.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No13c8,238$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.7526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No58c7,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.9915044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No54c5,979$3,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.586051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes18c5,307$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.8316740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes18c4,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2802035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes12c3,999$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.5413645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No51c3,345$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.3369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c3,250$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.223,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked No80c3,162$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.841533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes19c3,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4301030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes17c2,946$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.823551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes37c2,885$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.961,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes12c2,671$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.611020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…afb0backed No58c2,620$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.371540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No53c2,596$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.873345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked No58c2,420$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.56825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c2,180$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.9784939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0603650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1408245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No71c1,981$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.031435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes62c1,783$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.7225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes18c1,524$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No39c1,509$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.1741147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No23c1,454$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes54c1,365$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.4661032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed No71c1,357$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.761553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes40c1,338$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.3121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed No45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No72c1,324$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.978075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No56c1,313$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.232240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Yes19c1,301$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c1,199$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.131,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes15c1,110$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.38940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes70c1,083$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.746235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes61c1,076$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed No52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4408142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No48c999.48$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.752748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes48c922.4$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.3119662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes18c918.32$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.015942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No52c800$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41916845.8%77 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe4…e51fbacked Yes19c800$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3deb…c6b6backed No56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-67.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes20c706.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.774240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes20c706.51$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.349840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes19c683.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.0320449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14df…30b2backed Yes19c650$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+120.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…d658backed Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes19c621.05$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.053129%9 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed No80c600.77$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed No54c600$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3225759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Yes20c600$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x539d…5d98backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes20c509$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4094528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41517526.9%47 W · 128 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes52c491.78$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9115150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed No54c444$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No49c441.84$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5311336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No78c439.98$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes22c405.71$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5219042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No49c402.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7715444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed No68c402.09$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked No56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2243354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed No51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b17…d72fbacked No42c381.19$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c377.06$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.951,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c369.24$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed No54c357.41$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No49c354.15$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.534465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes44c352$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.124259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes13c350$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.55750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed No54c348.15$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1884454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed No64c341.7$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c339.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.0679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No47c334.04$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No45c333.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe131…7594backed No51c331.57$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes18c326.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.611442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No45c323.56$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.64845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No23c318.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.048143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked No54c316.15$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.723865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes19c315.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.31225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.