TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes25c39,502$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c27,220$20,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,170.3890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No75c12,395$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.661566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c12,095$4,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,968.384,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c10,173$7,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.452,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6863…79fbbacked Yes29c6,963$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c6,038$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.723,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c4,633$3,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.951,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c3,824$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.9192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c3,500$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…bff2backed Yes31c3,367$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No74c3,333$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.587443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes31c3,210$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9951723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No76c2,984$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.21978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes4c2,661$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.917537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes31c2,645$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes24c2,495$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.72035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes31c1,605$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.54447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3453053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes24c1,338$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes23c1,217$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes50c1,123$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.881,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c1,079$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-64.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes30c999.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c980.87$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c823.45$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1da…7bfbbacked Yes23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x803d…368bbacked No77c699.99$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes70c519$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.2119652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Yes38c492.31$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.62050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7174…9874backed No76c477.67$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec1c…4b95backed No77c456.29$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.951050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No76c438.49$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes69c435.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No55c392.5$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.065152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c367$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7733734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Yes23c350$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes30c349.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.55435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes23c347.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.951225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes16c337.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5730…891ebacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c324$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6923947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5524…2f3cbacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No45c289.85$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes31c274.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.011315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Yes31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa95…6ac7backed Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes30c246.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.937853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes22c245.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9519255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2ef…fb59backed Yes25c244$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No76c227.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.721668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed No77c224.61$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.661266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f27…fc32backed Yes23c214.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No61c212.46$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8615444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No70c211.89$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.573250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes23c200.58$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.922035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee77…ad2abacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…457bbacked Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No42c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.999530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes77c193.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.581258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes23c192.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.351442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes22c190$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.84114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes11c182.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0514342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x214e…3c01backed Yes13c175.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes31c174.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.615643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c173.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.81,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes14c171.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed Yes15c169.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.34per pick12cpaid+330.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3fad…7071backed Yes77c162.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed No32c156.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.485343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes16c155.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No53c154.08$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2516838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No74c145.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.898940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd1…c0bdbacked Yes31c144.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes15c132.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.