TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa95…6ac7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$76.05
Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$6,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,867
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$97.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$9,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,396
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.8
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$144.16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.83
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$213.55
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.6
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$78.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$262.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.6
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$60.2
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$392
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$294.87
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.22
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.33
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.63
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+378.5%+$87.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,680
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$2,099.95
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,749.92
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,299.88
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.75
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,937.98
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$199.5
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$77.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.1%+$206.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$12.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$607.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.