TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No51c9,844$5,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.4946644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes57c9,834$5,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.534032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes48c7,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,65012055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c6,766$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.7298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No42c5,742$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.4511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes67c4,423$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.6122652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes47c3,674$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.5214060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa8d3…2b34backed Yes69c2,892$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c2,568$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.4914955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Yes57c1,856$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+144.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c1,486$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.7343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No45c1,240$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.8514755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No25c995.36$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No39c980.34$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5214843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No45c925$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+191.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes61c796$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.94151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes61c786$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes62c770$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.284247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No44c685.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3484845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e8…1bb9backed Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+115.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No19c541.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9330536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c538.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4433444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.55560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No43c440.09$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.241250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes52c399.94$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.972450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.167833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa95…6ac7backed Yes47c390$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No37c382.63$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5950%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a05…5e25backed No6c371.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes51c341.55$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ba…1ae8backed No32c341.42$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.12425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No14c341$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4512156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No26c330.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.139431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c4…980fbacked Yes75c320$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No44c299.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.981540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes69c296.18$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes52c290$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.211457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked No35c285.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked No35c285.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.025250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Yes57c270.18$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fca…5f02backed No5c258.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c251.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No8c236.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes69c200.01$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.721080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes57c177.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.499065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No46c170.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1630055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes57c162.09$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.281752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes72c149.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes56c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Yes56c116.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.381435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No46c112.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8413551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No55c108.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6430954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.772356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c97.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7332453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…b614backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.34650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes74c89.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a38…2a21backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes70c86.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No45c85.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.633455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes59c82.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No38c80.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3712532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c10…5796backed Yes52c74.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Yes41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+76.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No50c68.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4819345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes52c68.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked No47c64.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.35944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed No34c61.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.681553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af4…043abacked Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073c…6a81backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Yes53c56.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.863565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+252.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes50c55.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x355c…81c5backed Yes51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.91643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9906…fbcbbacked Yes73c54.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…9368backed Yes53c53.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes57c52.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes58c51.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8411351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes56c51.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+178.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No45c51.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.362560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…e779backed Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.