TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x742c…e779

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST3366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25.8%+$4.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.2%+$8.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.84
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+59.8%+$31.11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56%+$20.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+54%+$70.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+142%+$141.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31%+$30.93
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.47
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+48.7%+$36.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$141.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+94.6%+$24.3
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+155.3%+$23.3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.71
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+201.9%+$23.74
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+115.9%+$34.89
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42.84
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+144.1%+$29.52
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+130.8%+$26.16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$56.61
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.2%+$6.48
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+30.9%+$12.35
Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25.8%+$5.86
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$15.76
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.79
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$16.3
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
T20 Series England Lions vs Pakistan A: England Lions vs Pakistan Abacked England Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+64.8%+$9.72
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+98%+$9.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+64.7%+$34.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Jay Clarkebacked Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.14
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Ealabacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C or higher on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.