TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GIANTXof Natus Vincere, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$901,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,077,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $901,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed GIANTX45c65,953$29,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,179.51,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Natus Vincere55c32,070$17,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,533.162429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere55c22,648$12,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,456.5864155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed GIANTX49c22,510$10,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,535.0712850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed GIANTX47c22,396$10,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,869.9712759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed GIANTX45c20,000$8,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,019.9128361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Natus Vincere55c18,947$10,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,42117949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x671f…328cbacked Natus Vincere53c18,900$10,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0176040%24 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere53c18,346$9,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,663.132,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere53c18,278$9,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,718.543,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Natus Vincere52c13,256$6,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,865.566541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked GIANTX47c12,766$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,765.966141%25 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere55c11,900$6,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,592.481,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere55c11,622$6,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,349.391,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere50c10,767$5,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,383.3931153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed GIANTX80c10,669$8,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.9740370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed GIANTX46c10,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,439.9713344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed GIANTX44c9,902$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,496.6526246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcc…7a11backed Natus Vincere14c9,002$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.461625%4 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere53c8,696$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,608.8814839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere23c8,590$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.821,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere33c8,498$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.861,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed GIANTX75c8,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0007374%54 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f47…d0a3backed Natus Vincere3c7,500$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201923.3%3 W · 89 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked GIANTX46c6,800$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.1317537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed GIANTX47c6,800$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.983850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Natus Vincere55c6,611$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,636.2820035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Natus Vincere20c6,284$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.795028%14 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x063a…8382backed GIANTX48c6,229$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.081963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Natus Vincere79c6,181$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90028166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed GIANTX46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere29c5,999$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.821,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere51c5,991$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.9642840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Natus Vincere12c5,962$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.3342050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Natus Vincere50c5,316$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.962638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Natus Vincere51c5,301$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.446541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Natus Vincere57c5,235$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.2525446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…6e27backed GIANTX26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed GIANTX46c4,309$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked GIANTX45c4,290$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.2427447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere24c4,064$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.951,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked GIANTX47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1204647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere30c3,944$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.6385442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed Natus Vincere20c3,930$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed GIANTX28c3,916$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.8167931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere11c3,805$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.481,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked GIANTX47c3,797$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.3616325.2%41 W · 122 L-15.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1590…e9c7backed Natus Vincere55c3,610$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed GIANTX29c3,556$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.7839749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere9c3,464$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5928827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed GIANTX64c3,345$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.079439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Natus Vincere25c3,335$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84127353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Natus Vincere57c3,315$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.8627636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed GIANTX46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8552848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked GIANTX47c3,251$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.147061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked GIANTX46c3,107$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.525757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere56c2,673$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.231,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked GIANTX44c2,570$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.1912454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere55c2,498$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.641,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked GIANTX57c2,409$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.1653640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere54c2,385$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.891,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed GIANTX50c2,252$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.4220454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Natus Vincere55c2,243$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.8630247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked GIANTX64c2,236$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.418359%49 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed GIANTX46c2,175$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.2210044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked GIANTX46c2,113$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.641,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed GIANTX77c2,104$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.5460855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe888…0364backed Natus Vincere53c2,094$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.051723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed GIANTX45c2,050$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13748448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Natus Vincere54c2,010$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.8766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Natus Vincere69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere56c1,874$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.441,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere59c1,862$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.4354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere53c1,840$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.552,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed GIANTX77c1,829$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.7518451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere56c1,700$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9521,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Natus Vincere6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073b…aabdbacked Natus Vincere78c1,641$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.46540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Natus Vincere1c1,636$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7122548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere55c1,590$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.421,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Natus Vincere53c1,586$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.6418347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed GIANTX80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30045739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked Natus Vincere21c1,500$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0414840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed GIANTX72c1,474$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4825560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed GIANTX46c1,399$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.9236048.9%176 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Natus Vincere7c1,367$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6844042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Natus Vincere26c1,341$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.451,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Natus Vincere54c1,275$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.8828240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Natus Vincere17c1,271$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0214644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc07…a946backed Natus Vincere54c1,270$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6863066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked GIANTX80c1,250$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.311770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8e…814ebacked GIANTX21c1,250$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Natus Vincere43c1,250$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54095951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Natus Vincere57c1,228$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere25c1,208$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked GIANTX45c1,195$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.329853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Natus Vincere56c1,165$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65050051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.