TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GIANTXof Natus Vincere, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$433,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked GIANTX56c33,968$19,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,939.811,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f47…d0a3backed Natus Vincere2c22,500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380923.3%3 W · 89 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked GIANTX47c17,740$8,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,380.752,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed GIANTX76c13,297$10,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.919741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Natus Vincere71c9,376$6,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,674.986241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Natus Vincere49c9,123$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.7324065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere28c8,807$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.351,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere43c8,260$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.881,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere57c8,000$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,522.1282452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked GIANTX47c7,114$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.5353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed GIANTX79c6,712$5,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.0348157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere57c6,683$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.31,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed GIANTX52c5,146$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.089439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed GIANTX50c5,140$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.4518451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere64c4,989$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.951,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere53c4,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed GIANTX46c3,978$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.591,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Natus Vincere49c3,867$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.8428361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Natus Vincere57c3,158$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80037344%164 W · 209 L-16.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere33c3,014$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.7469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Natus Vincere37c2,979$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.0442050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere56c2,945$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.841,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere56c2,865$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.641,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Natus Vincere73c2,858$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.838359%49 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Natus Vincere22c2,570$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.362429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GIANTX43c2,424$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.985942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed GIANTX45c2,270$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.222356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Natus Vincere58c2,196$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.8485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked GIANTX49c2,181$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.3518961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked GIANTX34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Natus Vincere59c1,995$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.4121740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked GIANTX46c1,978$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.3645344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed GIANTX43c1,960$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.385852.3%449 W · 409 L+35.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked GIANTX46c1,949$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.537345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere56c1,911$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.181,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere57c1,793$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.691,00554%543 W · 462 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Natus Vincere43c1,694$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.7246339.5%183 W · 280 L-37.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed GIANTX44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89644047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX34c1,470$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.792,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed GIANTX47c1,351$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.9714644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GIANTX45c1,317$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.11,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere57c1,300$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked GIANTX55c1,213$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.3315149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed GIANTX45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed GIANTX44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67210044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked GIANTX44c1,177$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2727447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere56c1,076$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Natus Vincere18c1,050$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18914757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc168…9b53backed Natus Vincere66c1,020$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere36c1,011$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36244843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf188…6eadbacked Natus Vincere2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010239.2%40 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8e…814ebacked Natus Vincere1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Natus Vincere2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked GIANTX60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed GIANTX43c999.95$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.973,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb734…fc38backed GIANTX67c953.85$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.257568%51 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere38c953$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.933251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere48c952.1$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.876953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere41c922.85$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.941,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Natus Vincere7c900$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+195%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked GIANTX23c884.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.7224858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Natus Vincere58c860.34$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49946552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Natus Vincere34c812$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4468443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Natus Vincere56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Natus Vincere56c799.99$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9996347.7%459 W · 504 L+2.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere33c789.42$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.131,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GIANTX50c760.69$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.022,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed Natus Vincere24c751.89$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.932330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Natus Vincere44c747.23$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3921655.1%119 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Natus Vincere71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed GIANTX63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3786758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e3…f702backed Natus Vincere40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed GIANTX43c684.53$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4824248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed GIANTX71c663.38$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.386566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GIANTX61c657.08$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.961,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Natus Vincere18c649.06$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4117826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed GIANTX43c647.33$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9840347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed GIANTX51c626.82$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8241060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7274…054cbacked Natus Vincere33c612.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Natus Vincere41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e53…dcdebacked GIANTX67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1984951%25 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Natus Vincere63c553.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.2916540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6741…e0f9backed GIANTX47c526.76$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.774454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere80c526.39$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.111,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Natus Vincere33c508.4$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17040237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed GIANTX45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27536050.6%182 W · 178 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19511950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Natus Vincere41c491.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013557%77 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed GIANTX22c466.12$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.621,13643.2%491 W · 645 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Natus Vincere19c464.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.276838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Natus Vincere55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22064753.9%349 W · 298 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked GIANTX45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22022455.4%124 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22442148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed GIANTX45c397.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7836260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed GIANTX44c382.57$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2448548.7%236 W · 249 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Natus Vincere60c378.6$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1620051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked GIANTX39c366.95$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.071,45613.2%192 W · 1,264 L-111.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Natus Vincere7c344$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0866316.4%109 W · 554 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked GIANTX30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3324326.7%65 W · 178 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.