CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5330e27352804fabff304879aa6fe5727dd451a7177de1a2732d5cba606965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Sinners, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sinners | 60c | 7,437$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.75 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Alliance | 40c | 2,700$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Alliance | 57c | 2,495$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.24 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 61cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Alliance | 41c | 2,245$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.49 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Sinners | 60c | 1,937$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.87 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Sinners | 59c | 1,819$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.01 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Alliance | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Sinners | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Alliance | 39c | 1,174$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.44 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Alliance | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Alliance | 41c | 844.1$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.14 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Alliance | 40c | 750$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 41c | 724.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.78 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sinners | 28c | 622.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sinners | 55c | 528.82$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sinners | 60c | 505.7$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.28 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Sinners | 44c | 500$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Alliance | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Sinners | 37c | 454.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 61c | 402.8$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Sinners | 12c | 400.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Alliance | 39c | 360$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 63c | 300.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Sinners | 61c | 295.61$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alliance | 41c | 292.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Sinners | 46c | 285.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Sinners | 33c | 271.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Alliance | 66c | 259.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Alliance | 79c | 253.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Alliance | 39c | 245$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinners | 29c | 240.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Alliance | 38c | 239.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Alliance | 39c | 230.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…6dd8backed Sinners | 52c | 213.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…7e3fbacked Sinners | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Alliance | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Alliance | 40c | 199.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…9167backed Alliance | 65c | 145.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Sinners | 56c | 145.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Alliance | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…e779backed Alliance | 67c | 110.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Alliance | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Sinners | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Alliance | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Sinners | 46c | 94.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Alliance | 76c | 88.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sinners | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Sinners | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Sinners | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Sinners | 32c | 77.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…2430backed Sinners | 35c | 70.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alliance | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Sinners | 41c | 69.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Alliance | 40c | 65.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…054ebacked Alliance | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Sinners | 50c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Alliance | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sinners | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Alliance | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Sinners | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Alliance | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Alliance | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Sinners | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…1971backed Sinners | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Sinners | 45c | 42.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…fdc5backed Alliance | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked Sinners | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Alliance | 40c | 37.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Sinners | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Alliance | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Sinners | 33c | 34.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69e…e918backed Sinners | 61c | 32.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sinners | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Alliance | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Alliance | 40c | 27.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Sinners | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Sinners | 60c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Sinners | 60c | 22.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.