CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e9d9975ff1138525d012f4cb83c3fe416cab75575c073d1a267690f1311ceaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb726…0664backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 37,983$11,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,351.72 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…62e6backed Vitality | 70c | 18,753$13,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Vitality | 71c | 14,777$10,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.67 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 7,710$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.25 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Vitality | 74c | 6,559$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.33 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Vitality | 71c | 6,103$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.71 | 448 | 48.4%217 W · 231 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 5,555$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.69 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 5,397$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.79 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Vitality | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Vitality | 74c | 4,964$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.87 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Vitality | 70c | 4,665$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.92 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 4,657$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.74 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 4,245$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.83 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 78c | 4,229$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.26 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…45babacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 4,083$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 4,010$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.31 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 3,932$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.53 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 3,714$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 3,712$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.78 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 3,477$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.85 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Vitality | 72c | 3,000$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.98 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 71c | 2,938$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.47 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Vitality | 75c | 2,828$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.63 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 2,815$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.17 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 2,793$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.23 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Vitality | 75c | 2,790$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.43 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 2,578$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Vitality | 69c | 2,430$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.46 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 2,428$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.31 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vitality | 71c | 2,354$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Aurora Gaming | 22c | 2,223$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Vitality | 74c | 1,830$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.18 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vitality | 78c | 1,592$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.45 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,587$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,561$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Vitality | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…6d32backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 1,360$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.38 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Vitality | 72c | 1,327$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.46 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,230$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 8c | 1,228$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 1,183$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 1,103$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 1,052$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Vitality | 66c | 1,000$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.19 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Vitality | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vitality | 71c | 911.62$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.62 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality | 73c | 911.4$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 71c | 911.38$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 850.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.36 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 834$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 787.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Vitality | 66c | 759.77$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.27 | 419 | 60.9%255 W · 164 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Vitality | 68c | 736.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 723.65$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Vitality | 75c | 665.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Vitality | 76c | 658.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Vitality | 72c | 586.2$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Vitality | 67c | 582.16$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 580$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Vitality | 72c | 561.36$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 548.64$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Vitality | 77c | 514.68$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Vitality | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Vitality | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 499.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 480.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 461.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 459.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.46 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Vitality | 72c | 442.1$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Vitality | 74c | 405.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Vitality | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 388.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 374$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 363.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 354.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Vitality | 72c | 342.46$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…2ef4backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 340$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Vitality | 70c | 332.26$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Vitality | 70c | 330.21$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | -23.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 329.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…4cc8backed Vitality | 74c | 321.39$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 316.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…d432backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 311.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 304.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed Vitality | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Vitality | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Vitality | 66c | 286.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked Vitality | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…be40backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 267.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 78c | 256.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.