CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d6c3d3fb768c92a0b414c0dc88cf2932585dd1ab4819d048abcc9aa3b1c7d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 63c | 9,000$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.97 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Over | 37c | 5,544$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.02 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 2,015$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.75 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Under | 80c | 1,185$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.95 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 37c | 1,074$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.38 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 37c | 1,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.1 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 37c | 790$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 22c | 774.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 39c | 641.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 77c | 598.01$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…604bbacked Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Over | 39c | 476$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 61c | 350.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 37c | 295$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Under | 68c | 294.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…2aa4backed Under | 64c | 276$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 67c | 274.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 213.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…2a9ebacked Under | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…ba81backed Under | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…26d9backed Under | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 36c | 120.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Under | 64c | 96.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed Over | 22c | 96.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Under | 79c | 87.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 38c | 79.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 36c | 65.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 28c | 43.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 37c | 41.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Under | 64c | 35.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…7c6cbacked Over | 36c | 30.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 68c | 29.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…66b4backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Under | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…2a0bbacked Under | 70c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2991…494ebacked Under | 73c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Under | 66c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 74c | 18.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.