CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc96db899bc68850448ec7eaf8d6f4a0598ebfa10a28981fab6ef2e4b5e985c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 15,763$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.16 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 14,273$6,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,114.45 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Vitality | 59c | 10,587$6,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.7 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.97 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Vitality | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Vitality | 59c | 4,002$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.66 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 3,685$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Vitality | 57c | 3,530$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.9 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Vitality | 56c | 3,254$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.62 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Vitality | 58c | 3,245$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.88 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Vitality | 59c | 3,186$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.84 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,673$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.84 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f93bbacked Vitality | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Vitality | 58c | 2,309$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…17febacked Vitality | 58c | 2,228$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Vitality | 58c | 2,020$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.32 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Vitality | 60c | 2,000$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.6 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,000$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.37 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Vitality | 58c | 1,911$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality | 55c | 1,750$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.69 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,691$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.56 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,517$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.95 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality | 60c | 1,347$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.91 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,181$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.97 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,070$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.7 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 60c | 1,049$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.62 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 991.55$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Vitality | 59c | 785.16$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.92 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Vitality | 57c | 777$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.11 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 735$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vitality | 57c | 695.98$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.57 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Vitality | 59c | 598.47$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Vitality | 59c | 512.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.69 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Vitality | 57c | 476$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…3d46backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 474.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Vitality | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Vitality | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 421.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…09f6backed Vitality | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Vitality | 60c | 401$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…e28bbacked Vitality | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Vitality | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality | 58c | 349.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Vitality | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Vitality | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality | 57c | 303.63$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Vitality | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vitality | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 295.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Vitality | 69c | 291.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 261.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -9.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Vitality | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Vitality | 55c | 241.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Vitality | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Vitality | 56c | 211.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality | 58c | 203.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Vitality | 58c | 201$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Vitality | 57c | 192.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Vitality | 61c | 176.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Vitality | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Vitality | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Vitality | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Vitality | 60c | 167.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed Vitality | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Vitality | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…8b06backed Vitality | 61c | 165.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 141.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Vitality | 78c | 141.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…0044backed Vitality | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 116.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Vitality | 59c | 116.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 114.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Vitality | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…e3ecbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 101.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Vitality | 59c | 100.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Vitality | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…d188backed Vitality | 60c | 96.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 91.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 89.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed Vitality | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…98a7backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 75.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…1a83backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked Vitality | 57c | 68.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 66.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Vitality | 65c | 66.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Vitality | 74c | 62.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.