CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32ba15950b67a431aeb7cba5c8bde90a41a9148b2bbc336433b3036794e24fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $926,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $994,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $926,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 421,163$70,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,369.88 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ce…6e30backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 25,072$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 24,171$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.04 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 16,265$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 12,373$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.57 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 0c | 10,140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 8,763$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.52 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 8,125$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 7,921$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.38 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 6,566$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 6,477$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd701…1939backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 6,320$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 5,981$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.88 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 5,533$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 5,497$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.04 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 4,252$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 3,957$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.29 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 3,957$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.58 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 3,489$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.09 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 3,390$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.63 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 3,225$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.95 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…9f7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 3,075$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 2,814$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,622$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.74 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,550$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 2,520$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…0312backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,424$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 2,386$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…0bfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,363$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 2,191$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…f2b0backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 2,035$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 2,014$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.32 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Aurora Gaming | 12c | 1,994$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…92b4backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,920$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,891$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 1,867$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,812$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…efb4backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 1,800$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…b7b7backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Aurora Gaming | 8c | 1,629$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,606$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…4943backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 1,571$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 1,540$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,469$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…edbdbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,462$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 1,442$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 1,390$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 1,315$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,139$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…51b1backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,080$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 1,030$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,028$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,019$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…45babacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 999.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 974.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 897.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 878.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 858$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…fdc9backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 803.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 799$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.81 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 768$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 758.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 750.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Vitality | 80c | 709$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 702.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Aurora Gaming | 6c | 699.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 656.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 629.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…7af3backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 619.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 599.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 12c | 593.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 593$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 586.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 586.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 584.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 575.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 569.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…5856backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 542.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 540.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…4cc5backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 530$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 489.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 458.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.