TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x210e…d188

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.11
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.92
Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.18
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+43.6%+$15.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.87
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$70.1
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$38.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$23.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59.83
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$38.41
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$26.47
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$31.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$42.26
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$32.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$29.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+87.5%+$50.28
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.14
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+109.6%+$63.41
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$24.7
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.43
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$32.44
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.39
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.51
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54.35
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+89.9%+$42.26
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.97
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.36
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$25.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$36.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$21.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.