TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,706,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,049,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,706,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,742 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs48c875,722$416,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459,632.6723257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons53c835,664$440,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440,867.8887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons52c615,798$319,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319,946.4572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Spurs47c416,892$197,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,163.963148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pistons52c288,461$149,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,999.4743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Spurs49c78,178$38,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,060.4351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Pistons53c75,000$39,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,749.8219653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Spurs52c74,044$38,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,629.5316848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Spurs48c74,044$35,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,502.845139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs51c73,779$37,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,842.422,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa898…8d2ebacked Pistons53c70,542$37,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,598.22955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Pistons53c66,770$35,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,3882532%8 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pistons53c60,000$31,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,80029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Spurs47c60,000$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,499.9821951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Spurs48c59,570$28,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,976.5329055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs47c56,700$26,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,05130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons20c53,994$10,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,725.674,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs47c51,753$24,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,429.191,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Pistons54c50,400$27,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,2163129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Spurs46c50,399$23,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,215.612965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Spurs48c45,620$21,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,722.5819150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs48c45,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,4001,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pistons52c45,000$23,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,449.7635450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pistons52c44,831$23,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,312.2527747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons53c44,000$23,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,319.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed Pistons52c40,010$20,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,805.122147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs47c40,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,20059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons50c40,000$20,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,049.9337539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs46c38,746$17,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,967.632,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Pistons13c38,462$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Pistons54c34,044$18,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,3849531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons53c32,939$17,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,457.671,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Spurs47c32,775$15,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,370.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…13c9backed Pistons31c32,485$10,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,009.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons52c31,777$16,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,406.4745850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons2c31,378$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.91,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pistons52c30,012$15,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,606.2331445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Pistons52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.982152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Pistons52c30,000$15,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,699.8710236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3619…a62fbacked Spurs48c29,642$14,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,413.671353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Spurs48c29,167$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,166.677552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Pistons53c27,500$14,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,574.988640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Spurs47c27,499$12,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,574.69054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons53c27,043$14,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,332.6259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons34c26,847$9,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,140.712,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Pistons37c26,622$9,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,959.6513625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pistons0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs58c24,925$14,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,353.693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons2c24,692$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.851,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs47c24,492$11,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,004.824,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons9c23,089$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.231,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Spurs48c22,151$10,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,518.3817550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Pistons54c21,000$11,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,3405648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Spurs48c20,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,833.333333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pistons3c20,474$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Spurs47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,60038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pistons52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.8818045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs46c19,798$9,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,690.971,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pistons54c19,613$10,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,610.2229250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Pistons51c19,408$9,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,898.165646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Pistons48c18,587$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Spurs47c17,583$8,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,293.7472450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pistons51c17,219$8,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,781.8132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Spurs48c15,279$7,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,945.086860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Spurs48c15,217$7,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,912.6729347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs53c14,637$7,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,879.3544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pistons1c14,575$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.167211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs47c14,390$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,589.592,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs47c14,171$6,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,522.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons34c13,785$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.6582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons5c13,192$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.961,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b06…fbf1backed Pistons54c13,148$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1002254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons28c12,842$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,562.811,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Spurs48c12,239$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,364.0715147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pistons53c12,000$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,359.9843348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs46c12,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.9277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pistons2c11,624$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3514434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Spurs48c11,513$5,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,986.55248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons45c11,483$5,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,113.991,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Spurs48c11,078$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,815.1810952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons52c10,690$5,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,558.6237557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5815…a7c8backed Spurs47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Spurs48c10,543$5,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,482.254259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Spurs48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Spurs48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6710046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Pistons53c10,168$5,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,389.215435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spurs49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Spurs48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f6…13f0backed Spurs48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d1a…296ebacked Pistons53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Spurs48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Spurs48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2004151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Spurs48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Spurs48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9620849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Spurs48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.868052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons23c9,999$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.323,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Pistons52c9,993$5,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,196.3313249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…538ebacked Spurs65c9,922$6,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.