TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,394 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87cd…63a1backed Pistons44c456.81$200 inLost-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Spurs50c371.79$186 inWon+$185.928838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons50c221.32$111 inLost-$110.881,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Spurs32c93.75$30 inWon+$63.7534849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs54c62.59$34 inWon+$28.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Spurs50c50$25 inWon+$2574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Spurs49c49.87$24 inWon+$25.6528943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Spurs74c40.29$30 inWon+$10.298342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Pistons56c35.71$20 inLost-$202748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Pistons51c34$17 inLost-$17.3429243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Pistons45c33.33$15 inLost-$158944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Pistons50c30$15 inLost-$159552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pistons55c26.03$14 inLost-$14.2340541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.