TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Pistons, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons50c49,095$24,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,509.8187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pistons49c46,944$22,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,960.9227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs50c45,646$22,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,874.761,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pistons50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs50c38,021$19,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,963.331,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs51c34,636$17,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,8074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons50c21,496$10,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,747.812,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons48c18,555$8,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,906.3972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs50c16,881$8,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,440.6244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pistons50c15,641$7,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,817.4551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Spurs50c15,584$7,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.9237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Spurs51c10,748$5,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.5217550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Pistons50c9,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7502842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…4f4ebacked Spurs50c8,054$4,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Spurs51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.1438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs51c7,349$3,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons46c7,261$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.482,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Spurs50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Spurs51c5,612$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.9941649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Spurs50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs54c4,164$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons49c4,138$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.6957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3619…a62fbacked Spurs51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615f…e71abacked Spurs52c3,826$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Pistons52c3,003$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.1629646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e1…cdcdbacked Pistons51c2,843$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Pistons50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pistons51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Spurs51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.783548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Spurs50c1,920$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.2352052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pistons50c1,840$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons49c1,816$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.073,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons48c1,581$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.036,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Spurs51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.639556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Spurs50c1,493$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pistons49c1,456$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.2424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons55c1,390$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.951,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs51c1,388$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.531,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c53…d737backed Spurs52c1,354$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs51c1,291$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.592,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Spurs51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4725951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Spurs51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4734854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Spurs50c1,143$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.4342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs65c1,124$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.423,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pistons50c1,090$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pistons48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…069ebacked Spurs51c1,003$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.471546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Pistons49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.988739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Spurs50c1,002$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.9218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Pistons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Pistons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Pistons49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9910251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aef…32cfbacked Pistons49c998$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Spurs52c932$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Spurs52c861.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.7554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Pistons50c845.14$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.573250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa2…74ecbacked Pistons46c826.88$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Spurs50c815$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.52,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Pistons50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Pistons48c699.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9910042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Spurs52c674$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Spurs50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x890b…6afebacked Pistons50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37df…5889backed Spurs52c588.46$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Spurs51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Spurs50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs61c576.75$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.741,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pistons50c534.77$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.311,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Pistons49c530.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Spurs50c517.43$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.728754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24532347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Pistons40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons49c433.63$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.153,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Spurs50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Pistons50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Spurs49c382.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons28c359.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.913,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons50c327.06$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5359347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…f5c7backed Spurs50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Spurs65c307.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3427745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pistons51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15391050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs50c251.2$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.62,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs52c224$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.521,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs50c218.17$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Pistons49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Pistons49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9612642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Spurs49c200.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3351451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Pistons50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Pistons50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c10…5796backed Pistons50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Pistons51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210445.2%47 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Spurs51c198$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons49c191.27$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Pistons51c180.49$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0534342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dd…93a1backed Pistons51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd60…ab55backed Spurs52c158.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Pistons50c158.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1138350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.