TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under39c20,950$8,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,785.2254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over61c16,673$10,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,170.5351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf80…7783backed Under40c7,050$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Over60c7,002$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.0416346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over41c5,499$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.578451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over54c2,749$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.2841553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over56c2,622$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.343050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under62c2,494$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.893,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c1,850$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over2c1,650$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfc7…ea8abacked Over56c1,450$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0b4…32d1backed Over56c1,400$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under55c1,020$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.8444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over36c994.45$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9726034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Over61c739.8$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2818345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c695.64$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over64c639.99$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.5566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over61c521.75$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.313,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Under37c499.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.73132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under39c429.26$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c401.89$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.672,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under61c401.29$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24466645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under29c395.84$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.413,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x121c…b866backed Under44c360$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac06…9594backed Over73c357.49$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0130…3ddcbacked Under44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under58c338.62$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.442572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebb0…41c8backed Under44c310$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de1…4947backed Under44c310$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x886d…d14bbacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ee…aca7backed Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…7f27backed Under44c260$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c251.07$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.973,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b1…e33dbacked Under44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under37c236.8$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcca0…b7e4backed Under44c210$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d2…35a5backed Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Over24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf19…976bbacked Over55c199.02$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.462045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over40c138.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over8c137.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under40c133.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8814533.1%48 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under54c129.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2914636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8e…00abbacked Over63c125.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4813645.6%62 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c124.27$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.354,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over45c111.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over64c101.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Over55c101.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.796235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948d…d6a8backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc1e…07d1backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under45c95.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4739047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb3…cf5bbacked Over47c90.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over28c78.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8310637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2860…b066backed Under63c78.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over40c71.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over45c70.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7228943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under67c69.07$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7916052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.575549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c59.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.832,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over55c54.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c54.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under38c52.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.257851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe634…fae1backed Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Under44c47.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4714448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x220e…3b20backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under38c41.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2650841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under36c40.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c35.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.232,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under44c33.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7812227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under53c32.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5730151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Over64c32.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.945362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x501c…34d8backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b0…df5abacked Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under45c27.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1545348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under60c27.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9825655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over48c26.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5616369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a92…9f51backed Under64c23.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.592860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under63c22.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5115662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f94…cd5abacked Over59c22.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f61…ab6bbacked Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4867…0cfebacked Over57c17.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.