TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c102,890$46,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,181.8754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c32,076$17,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,493.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over55c16,673$9,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,170.1551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over56c14,000$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,839.997759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over54c9,000$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8602,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over54c8,259$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.773050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over56c7,083$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c3,532$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3e…4b61backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b50…ca68backed Under49c2,966$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d99…884bbacked Under45c2,775$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad3…ccdfbacked Under48c2,688$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb438…a417backed Under45c2,665$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd4b…6ab7backed Over51c2,601$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…e603backed Over55c2,558$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee2…9782backed Under45c2,520$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x756a…e50abacked Over55c2,456$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb424…16a8backed Over52c2,412$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbc…6a8fbacked Over55c2,366$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0155…7b44backed Over52c2,355$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5712…be60backed Under45c2,349$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504e…453ebacked Under49c2,301$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over54c2,034$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.3622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3998…67bbbacked Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07f8…76d3backed Under48c1,922$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f9…f390backed Over51c1,901$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ae…d30ebacked Over51c1,874$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcea8…8255backed Under48c1,838$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2585…5db0backed Under48c1,688$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8390…6aa0backed Over52c1,666$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd856…579abacked Over51c1,662$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a0…9e5fbacked Over52c1,625$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa12…2e10backed Under49c1,616$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd311…e452backed Over55c1,225$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd9…60ddbacked Over55c1,212$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…4596backed Over55c1,177$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e6…182ebacked Under49c1,161$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over53c1,133$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab1…efa5backed Over55c1,122$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f23…16bcbacked Over55c1,069$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aed…1dadbacked Over55c1,068$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6821…32c9backed Over55c1,056$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over55c1,018$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…6f10backed Over52c789$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under46c692.99$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.2254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ac…72fcbacked Under48c656$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c651.48$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50a1…fd05backed Under48c635$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2896…4023backed Over52c580$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Under45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under45c417.55$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6520352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over56c415$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c355.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.31,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c345.53$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.793,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c329.14$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under45c268$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c254.05$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over54c245$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.31,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10828245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50b5…b232backed Under48c195.83$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over55c190.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.471,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Over56c158.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.779861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c140.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over49c135.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under45c134$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.756547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Over52c114.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.058456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c108.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.692,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over55c98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.411,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c94.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over55c89.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.338850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709f…96ecbacked Under46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over57c75.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c58.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a36…428fbacked Under47c55.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.175836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under45c52.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9435551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Over55c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.33342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Over56c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.566735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over55c39.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229334.4%32 W · 61 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c38.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.553,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over53c33.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.893554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27a…134bbacked Under46c33.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.385100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over56c31.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3245460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Over54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169439.4%37 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c28.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.412,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under47c26.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.139047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05aa…6786backed Over47c26.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.610028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Under45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over55c22.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over54c20.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2817844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.