TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05c9…1ebbbacked Over0c40,075$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.021464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over52c25,667$13,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,321.7632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under43c21,893$9,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,479.1754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over56c12,958$7,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,311.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over57c5,249$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under53c5,091$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c4,901$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.592,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3fd…ca86backed Under43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2801450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb668…7667backed Under47c3,560$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ccf…9943backed Over53c3,525$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f21…1d7cbacked Over53c3,515$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e2…f83ebacked Over53c3,414$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821c…e6a9backed Under47c3,157$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…6544backed Over53c2,977$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5beb…e785backed Over53c2,970$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab86…76c7backed Under43c2,967$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa544…03c2backed Under47c2,888$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd4b…6ab7backed Over54c2,884$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880f…861bbacked Under46c2,866$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d9f…8879backed Over57c2,835$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e4…f212backed Under47c2,828$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19f…bbeebacked Under46c2,814$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f4…3a66backed Over53c2,812$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d1…840dbacked Under47c2,808$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7d…935dbacked Under47c2,734$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b50…ca68backed Under46c2,712$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e92…0305backed Over53c2,710$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71f…102bbacked Over53c2,699$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c9…5248backed Under47c2,699$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f48…2797backed Under47c2,536$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae17…8343backed Over54c2,455$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3468…75cebacked Over53c2,434$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf032…5f7ebacked Over53c2,366$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x504e…453ebacked Under46c2,356$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…8987backed Under47c2,355$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…e452backed Over53c2,310$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8daa…360fbacked Under47c2,211$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under46c2,190$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.3526544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa588…3528backed Over53c2,144$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ae…d30ebacked Over54c2,123$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e6…c2debacked Over53c2,047$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4598…1d47backed Over54c2,039$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd8…d3b2backed Under47c2,039$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under44c2,034$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.8322648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb5…6af0backed Under47c2,010$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9124…36debacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89a6…8d3bbacked Under47c1,988$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.64988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick48cpaid+85.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe762…4da6backed Over53c1,934$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5da…1325backed Under47c1,878$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4659…fa2abacked Over57c1,870$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd856…579abacked Over54c1,856$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa05d…72c5backed Under47c1,849$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f9…f390backed Under46c1,797$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6381…74e7backed Under47c1,774$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd0…3c8ebacked Under47c1,771$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa12…2e10backed Over54c1,757$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb59…df48backed Under43c1,738$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4941…8fe2backed Under47c1,655$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1359…6fdcbacked Over51c1,576$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x733a…0ffabacked Under47c1,520$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over44c1,433$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Under48c1,319$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.843831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x78b0…1e28backed Over53c1,304$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7716…cd61backed Under47c1,303$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945e…778fbacked Over53c1,212$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefad…bbeebacked Over53c1,111$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d6d…ed12backed Over53c1,088$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3974…8a50backed Over53c1,068$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd39d…0d6ebacked Over53c1,052$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf996…c21fbacked Over53c1,033$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1146…6a9abacked Over53c1,011$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c787.08$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.254,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3d…e351backed Over53c771$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under48c665.21$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.9142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under43c641$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Under46c615.72$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4917250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e6…182ebacked Under46c569$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Under48c562.5$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.516837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under48c476.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6217960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Under43c474$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.182944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c339.83$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over40c250.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over59c228$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21bf…001bbacked Over53c202$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c196.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1071,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under51c176.06$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.146235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e13…b9e9backed Under47c158$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c155.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over58c152.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.632740.7%11 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over25c152.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.811,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over57c151.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.363,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under59c149.3$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.672572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under43c147.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9919950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over55c146.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.331,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…5f0dbacked Over53c144$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e27…8acebacked Under47c133$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.