TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2896…4023backed Under44c5,450$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over54c5,122$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.093050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over52c4,402$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf67…a4d6backed Over56c4,330$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…6f10backed Under44c3,985$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a1…fd05backed Under44c3,984$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3b…8c97backed Under44c3,632$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf996…c21fbacked Under44c3,456$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd39d…0d6ebacked Over56c3,422$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc5…c754backed Over56c2,972$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d7…eb7cbacked Over56c2,967$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b46…a12dbacked Under44c2,932$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc029…6f43backed Over56c2,932$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eff…7d62backed Over56c2,928$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb02…1986backed Under44c2,914$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea8…8255backed Over56c2,877$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1a…38b2backed Under44c2,874$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefad…bbeebacked Over56c2,855$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x656b…513bbacked Over56c2,852$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f3…78dfbacked Over56c2,783$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x925b…ee81backed Over56c2,768$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a30…0d34backed Under44c2,718$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…8f3bbacked Over56c2,669$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…1e28backed Over56c2,655$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb300…3356backed Under44c2,584$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e82…4971backed Under44c2,581$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…8987backed Under44c2,555$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda9…b8f0backed Under44c2,531$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a87…156bbacked Over56c2,520$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6d…ed12backed Over56c2,477$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f48…2797backed Under44c2,455$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4099…9227backed Under44c2,338$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a8…8739backed Over56c2,330$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9124…36debacked Under44c2,323$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c59…792bbacked Under44c2,311$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bb6…fa2fbacked Over56c2,302$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3c…8c8ebacked Under44c2,297$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9965…fb25backed Under44c2,277$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ab…8ea4backed Under44c2,222$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393e…de04backed Over56c2,212$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b3…f462backed Under44c2,071$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1146…6a9abacked Under44c2,043$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb70…866cbacked Under44c2,028$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb424…16a8backed Over56c2,023$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a6…8d3bbacked Under44c2,020$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.2988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick48cpaid+85.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ad3…ccdfbacked Over56c2,020$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0155…7b44backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over54c1,967$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.11,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3974…8a50backed Over56c1,943$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f1…5f6abacked Under44c1,903$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f9…2d05backed Over56c1,879$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce00…1652backed Over56c1,821$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fb…c7d4backed Over56c1,817$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb3…198abacked Under44c1,791$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07f8…76d3backed Over56c1,755$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e6…b65bbacked Over56c1,711$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb2…80b6backed Over56c1,597$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3539…cccbbacked Under44c1,559$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…630cbacked Over56c1,558$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1303…6959backed Under44c1,537$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945e…778fbacked Over56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c1,459$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over53c1,401$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.6351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a0…9e5fbacked Over56c1,322$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2585…5db0backed Over56c1,322$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c1,312$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781b…2bdcbacked Under44c1,245$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under43c1,151$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.215154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over24c1,114$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8390…6aa0backed Over56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under48c1,063$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.7215147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c1,030$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.667921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ac…72fcbacked Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9922845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over59c899.99$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5317460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3f…e0adbacked Under48c733.33$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e00…1245backed Under44c698$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under76c591$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.841,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Under42c527.88$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8818456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over59c448.46$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.793,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.167440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over36c402.21$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.126034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over56c401.79$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20823435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14814248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over43c396.45$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1727334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under45c372.44$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under75c352.26$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.512,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over59c326$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.451,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over59c302.1$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Under41c286$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7412642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over53c279$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c264.06$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Over30c230$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.94339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under40c212.69$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.441050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c202.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.123,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Over50c187$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.510251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.