TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Pistons, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs47c11,370$5,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,996.642,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Pistons46c11,000$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0609250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons54c10,348$5,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.5832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons46c6,712$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.3587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Pistons54c5,979$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.337150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs46c5,872$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Pistons47c5,000$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32512245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons45c3,897$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Pistons45c3,666$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.541361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Spurs54c3,096$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.9619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Spurs54c3,056$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs55c2,669$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons45c2,648$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.663,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Spurs54c2,632$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.523747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x301e…ae84backed Spurs55c2,486$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e00…1245backed Pistons45c2,486$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Spurs54c2,462$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.7132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons4c2,104$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.761,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons44c2,042$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Spurs55c1,837$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd248…3b58backed Spurs55c1,829$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.931136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs55c1,646$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.71,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Spurs54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Spurs47c1,304$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.4840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Spurs56c1,301$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.115147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs53c1,285$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons45c1,276$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.064,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs55c1,000$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45532347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons33c970.42$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons45c921$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.451,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Spurs55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0918749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Spurs56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8628554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons54c846.66$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.21,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Spurs54c812.43$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7231044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Pistons47c688.27$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1545653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Pistons45c665$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Spurs54c545.95$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Spurs56c533.93$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9347651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Spurs55c510$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.51,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pistons45c499.14$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons39c495.25$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons46c461.19$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.953,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pistons46c363.72$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.311,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x560a…2d27backed Spurs55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.6wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+58.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1760…c4edbacked Spurs55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.644564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pistons43c355.23$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.421,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…6296backed Pistons36c320.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Spurs55c309.09$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0934854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3712…c651backed Pistons46c291.3$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Pistons46c262.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ed…063bbacked Pistons46c252.17$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Spurs54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Spurs55c245.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.451,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Pistons45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Spurs56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2918256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ac…820dbacked Pistons46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925450%27 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8861957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spurs55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.528245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Pistons52c189.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.239267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Spurs55c189.18$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1320847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Spurs55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8221164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8236450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699c…5dc1backed Spurs56c179.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.652050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Spurs56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Spurs56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Spurs59c170.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7111145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Pistons47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Pistons46c159.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2335843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Spurs56c153.4$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0868542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs49c151.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.81,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd60…ab55backed Spurs55c147.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Pistons47c138.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0638350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs55c138.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1836449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Pistons46c132$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Pistons46c112$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons45c109.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.322,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Spurs55c105.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.289458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6b2…4951backed Spurs55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839d…592cbacked Spurs55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.41per pick50cpaid+84.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pistons45c98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.11,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs55c90.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.92,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Spurs55c90.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.758563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Spurs56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2933246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs48c87.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.751,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x773f…76bbbacked Spurs55c86.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.756564.6%42 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…405abacked Spurs56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.366464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Pistons46c76.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1612644.4%56 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Pistons46c64.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1329351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Pistons46c64.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Pistons54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Spurs55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2749358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Pistons45c59.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.846735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons55c50.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Pistons45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.521849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons45c48.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.923,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc89…deaabacked Spurs55c47.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ae…2103backed Spurs54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef23…9971backed Spurs55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4528156.2%158 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.