TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2ed…063b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.39per pick48cpaid-76.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$114
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$600
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$332.73
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54.7
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$151.99
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$160.8
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$110
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$129.8
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$81
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)backed MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$182.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$403.33
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Acend (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$152.5
Counter-Strike: home vs Washington (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Bbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$387.5
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs HAVU (BO1) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport (BO1) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$124.9
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$766.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+233.3%+$312.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Group B - Italy vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.