CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs HAVU (BO1) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5f950306252f3c123f75019bc57a62e0ea40dfa1fe05925d94e3fd3f8381dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked HAVU | 33c | 862.29$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.15 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 297.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 296.66$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 35c | 288.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked HAVU | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ed…063bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 141.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 141.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 141.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 92.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed HAVU | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HAVU | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HAVU | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…500fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 37.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HAVU | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…51f6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.