Olympics · resolved market
Women's Group B - Italy vs. Germany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc5d19f3d1cb1bb6e1a451c6a701340cd3d8ab52426a61e3ff8e0128931bc22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Germanyof Italy, Germany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Germany | 64c | 4,022$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962a…f14fbacked Italy | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…88d1backed Germany | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Italy | 36c | 2,891$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Italy | 6c | 1,876$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Italy | 41c | 1,441$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.82 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Italy | 45c | 1,083$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.36 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Italy | 39c | 906.52$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.53 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Italy | 36c | 804.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Germany | 65c | 724.38$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Italy | 36c | 705.23$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Germany | 57c | 602.43$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Germany | 63c | 602.29$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Italy | 37c | 594.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Germany | 61c | 544.34$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Italy | 39c | 513.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Italy | 37c | 420$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Italy | 38c | 347.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Italy | 42c | 337.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Germany | 62c | 324.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Germany | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Germany | 61c | 301$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Italy | 36c | 277.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Italy | 33c | 275.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Germany | 64c | 255.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Germany | 41c | 241.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Germany | 64c | 220.42$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Italy | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Germany | 64c | 190.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Germany | 61c | 187.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Germany | 60c | 185$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Germany | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Germany | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Italy | 44c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…1c32backed Germany | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Germany | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Italy | 45c | 138.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Italy | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Italy | 40c | 120.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Germany | 59c | 118.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Germany | 55c | 110.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Germany | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Germany | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Germany | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Germany | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Italy | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Italy | 31c | 94.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…2e7fbacked Germany | 70c | 85.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…e88ebacked Germany | 59c | 83.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Italy | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Germany | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…c3bfbacked Germany | 64c | 68.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ed…063bbacked Germany | 50c | 55.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Italy | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Germany | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Italy | 37c | 49.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Italy | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Germany | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed Germany | 65c | 41.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Germany | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Italy | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Italy | 37c | 34.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Germany | 62c | 33.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Germany | 64c | 32.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Italy | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Germany | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Germany | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Italy | 35c | 30.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…be54backed Germany | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8940…f434backed Germany | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Germany | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Germany | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Italy | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Germany | 69c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Germany | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…0b32backed Germany | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…a151backed Germany | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Germany | 62c | 23.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Germany | 52c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Germany | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Germany | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…197abacked Germany | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…14e5backed Germany | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…82d0backed Germany | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Germany | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed Germany | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…0bbfbacked Germany | 68c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ae…ccefbacked Germany | 64c | 17.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…753bbacked Germany | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddeb…8cb9backed Germany | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Germany | 64c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…596dbacked Germany | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…243bbacked Germany | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Germany | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Germany | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.