CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: home vs Washington (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x678ac32908e94dca3858fe1b7f3a14facff45761dd3a33885b452c6d9bbb8a01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- homeof home, Washington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington | 49c | 2,473$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Washington | 1c | 2,144$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed home | 39c | 2,134$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed home | 35c | 1,936$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.42 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked home | 25c | 1,105$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.55 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ed…063bbacked Washington | 60c | 650$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Washington | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed Washington | 65c | 410$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…ced3backed Washington | 65c | 387.83$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Washington | 60c | 331$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed home | 40c | 187.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked home | 36c | 118.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0544backed Washington | 65c | 109.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed home | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…9a5ebacked Washington | 75c | 39.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed Washington | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Washington | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Washington | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 83.3%45 W · 9 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Washington | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…da94backed Washington | 65c | 28.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked home | 40c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed Washington | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…5f4bbacked Washington | 67c | 20.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…48a0backed Washington | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…ad1ebacked Washington | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…e0d3backed Washington | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.