TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb55…159a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST4161%25 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.16
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Map Handicap: VP.P (-1.5) vs ex-FUT Academy (+1.5)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+64.9%+$7.47
Counter-Strike: PRIME vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Cbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs SkinRave (BO3) - CCT North America Series #3 Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$84.16
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+80%+$27.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+86.7%+$21.68
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132%+$96.7
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.33
Counter-Strike: home vs Washington (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Bbacked home · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+174.5%+$75.04
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+155.6%+$40.45
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+120.5%+$60.23
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64.15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+60.7%+$17.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+151.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.1%+$23.82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+82.4%+$14.18
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+288.2%+$72.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.4%+$10.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.