Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa79cbd24d58243c8030e01337d1ef6981e676a569c7c35ab4150c35dd31a4954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 2,606$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.34 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 41c | 1,950$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,278$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.56 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 41c | 859.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.68 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 812.88$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 41c | 757.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 37cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 42c | 720$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 61c | 692.87$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 45c | 594.13$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.12 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 287.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 59c | 283.09$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…b5aabacked No | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…9913backed Yes | 41c | 183$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 7c | 153.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…d0afbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Yes | 45c | 110.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 60c | 57.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…e7f7backed Yes | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 65c | 37.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 53c | 36.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 41c | 36.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 60c | 30.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.