CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: PRIME vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x274743d43e8d812743ec795fb9389514710aedd5301e7d5d7a63681a36bc1f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof PRIME, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PRIME | 1c | 7,837$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked PRIME | 38c | 1,260$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.98 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed PRIME | 10c | 1,213$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed PRIME | 7c | 625.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…6511backed HyperSpirit | 61c | 385.25$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PRIME | 21c | 367.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed HyperSpirit | 61c | 362.65$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed HyperSpirit | 65c | 309.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 66c | 254.5$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed PRIME | 41c | 200.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…30c9backed HyperSpirit | 79c | 184$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HyperSpirit | 71c | 167$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed HyperSpirit | 63c | 163.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed PRIME | 50c | 140.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed PRIME | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed PRIME | 36c | 89.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked PRIME | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed HyperSpirit | 71c | 70.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed PRIME | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked HyperSpirit | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked HyperSpirit | 72c | 37.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked HyperSpirit | 63c | 31.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked HyperSpirit | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…9f03backed HyperSpirit | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…7b86backed HyperSpirit | 72c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed HyperSpirit | 74c | 26.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked HyperSpirit | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked HyperSpirit | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…ec41backed HyperSpirit | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.