Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7179997d43dcfc77e51604a3f1bfa0f09d4ed532134206522665b9403b9ca99d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 5,552$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 5,346$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.95 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 45c | 2,195$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.49 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 44c | 1,148$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 1c | 1,143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 605.77$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 580.61$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.89 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 8c | 348.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 35c | 251.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 44c | 196$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 143.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Yes | 45c | 93.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 79c | 90.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 87.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 55c | 83.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 69.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 60.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 43c | 59.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 58c | 58.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 29cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…70bbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 38.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 33c | 35.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764c…60d8backed Yes | 44c | 33.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…907dbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 55c | 23.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will FC København win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. FC København end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.