CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2a02293ad4775ac4839e73760b0b2f0d384984ae8f0550d66676e82f950366d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Alliance, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Alliance | 41c | 88,659$36,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,176.73 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sinners | 59c | 58,210$34,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,966.35 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Sinners | 61c | 25,022$15,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,811.33 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sinners | 57c | 4,523$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Alliance | 38c | 2,630$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Sinners | 72c | 2,051$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.34 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alliance | 47c | 1,286$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.69 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Alliance | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Alliance | 40c | 519.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.55 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Sinners | 54c | 473$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.19 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked Sinners | 69c | 348.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Sinners | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Sinners | 59c | 217$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sinners | 66c | 203$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…83f4backed Sinners | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Sinners | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 56c | 114.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Sinners | 52c | 112.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed Sinners | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Sinners | 67c | 64.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Sinners | 56c | 62.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Alliance | 52c | 51.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance | 31c | 49.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Alliance | 30c | 47.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Sinners | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Sinners | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 60c | 29.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Sinners | 50c | 24.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Alliance | 49c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…162bbacked Sinners | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.