CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs SkinRave (BO3) - CCT North America Series #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d1593ef55d32472e5679ddbe40860aeaf4a7416e4bac9384a60599f7d8aed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, SkinRave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SkinRave | 3c | 935.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…f488backed SkinRave | 32c | 403.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Marsborne | 70c | 197.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed SkinRave | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Marsborne | 56c | 148.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Marsborne | 70c | 102.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked SkinRave | 42c | 61.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Marsborne | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed SkinRave | 36c | 35.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6831…08b7backed SkinRave | 50c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d56backed SkinRave | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne | 60c | 29.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…8bf3backed Marsborne | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…7d6abacked SkinRave | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…ceadbacked SkinRave | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Marsborne | 65c | 25.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Marsborne | 63c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs SkinRave (BO3) - CCT North America Series #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs SkinRave - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs SkinRave - Map 2 WinnerMarsborne won
- Map Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)Marsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.