Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f121391378d96614704a36f636fcc5a5583f0d7ae1ceaf22f9f08848312ad5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenal FCof Arsenal FC, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 29,901$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,900.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Sunderland AFC | 51c | 20,856$10,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,636.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.97 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sunderland AFC | 46c | 18,236$8,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,388.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Sunderland AFC | 46c | 15,708$7,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,218.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sunderland AFC | 49c | 15,286$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 7,067$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.85 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sunderland AFC | 49c | 3,296$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.23 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 3,108$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.32 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sunderland AFC | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arsenal FC | 48c | 2,059$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.68 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,602$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Arsenal FC | 51c | 1,462$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.61 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Sunderland AFC | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 1,100$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sunderland AFC | 47c | 992.29$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.59 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC | 49c | 924.57$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Arsenal FC | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 785.59$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.42 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sunderland AFC | 45c | 735$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.75 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Arsenal FC | 55c | 700$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Sunderland AFC | 48c | 502.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.17 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…00ebbacked Sunderland AFC | 49c | 419.94$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Arsenal FC | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 384.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 350$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Sunderland AFC | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 251.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sunderland AFC | 48c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…38c9backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Sunderland AFC | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…ea5dbacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 194$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 193.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…bd56backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc6…65f2backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 189.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7a80backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 182$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 173.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…3fb4backed Arsenal FC | 55c | 158.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Sunderland AFC | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…857fbacked Sunderland AFC | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Arsenal FC | 50c | 147.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 127.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 117.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Sunderland AFC | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…66c7backed Sunderland AFC | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Sunderland AFC | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Sunderland AFC | 49c | 99.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…3762backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc5…c4f1backed Sunderland AFC | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Arsenal FC | 50c | 71.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sunderland AFC | 50c | 70.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Arsenal FC | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Arsenal FC | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Sunderland AFC | 50c | 60.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Sunderland AFC | 50c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Sunderland AFC | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 57.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 57.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Arsenal FC | 50c | 56.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…98a5backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 53.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Arsenal FC | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 48.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Sunderland AFC | 51c | 47.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Sunderland AFC | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Arsenal FC | 62c | 45.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sunderland AFC | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Sunderland AFC | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Arsenal FC | 49c | 43.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…eeeabacked Arsenal FC | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Arsenal FC | 41c | 40.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.