Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a85e04372f1f685fbe95858088426bbdfe742b5304a4e9435d385ee350d01b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 69c | 13,171$9,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.36 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 3,667$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 31c | 2,400$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 31c | 2,400$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 1,121$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.41 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 733.52$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 31c | 640$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 11c | 543.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 72c | 375$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 31c | 364.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 6c | 306.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 10c | 213$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 71c | 169$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 71c | 103.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…0793backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 91.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 71c | 83.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747a…50d6backed Over | 33c | 80.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 29c | 68.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Over | 32c | 62.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 18c | 59.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 72c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 66c | 17.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.