TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x747a…50d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$27.65
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+900%+$93.24
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$22.57
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.46
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.94
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+239%+$29
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$35.52
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$796.09
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$285.81
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.46
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.84
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$53.2
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.34
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$38.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+240.4%+$60.65
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$25.71
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$44.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$20.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$48.25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.53
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$15.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+246.4%+$36.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+152.4%+$33.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.