TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$409,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$512,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed No72c79,970$57,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,391.721952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes29c28,666$8,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,313.141450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c27,211$8,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,152.0548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c20,604$4,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,978.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c13,586$3,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,804.0932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c13,139$9,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.8596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No70c13,029$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.632268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No71c11,188$7,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.638941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No71c9,000$6,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6104351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes30c8,867$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.987546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c7,419$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No70c6,670$4,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a7…ffedbacked Yes32c5,995$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.41729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c5,295$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.991,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c4,960$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes28c4,941$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.889650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes28c4,941$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.8814752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes28c4,917$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.1815244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No71c4,913$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.775666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c4,913$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.776170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes28c4,909$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.0819154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c4,900$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.989149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c4,874$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.742638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c3,537$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.836666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes29c3,528$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.13154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes29c3,471$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes28c3,417$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.85162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No70c3,165$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.481827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No72c2,980$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.523100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c2,948$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.866070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c2,948$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.866369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c2,512$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.346567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes31c2,475$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.251225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No71c2,457$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.396167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No71c2,146$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3414258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c1,769$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.926465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No71c1,665$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.842860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes28c1,661$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0611346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c1,653$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.918951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No71c1,651$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.721952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No71c1,651$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.722050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d71…26a5backed Yes30c1,602$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes31c1,546$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.31250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No71c1,474$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.435269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No71c1,474$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.435867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No71c1,470$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes28c1,382$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes28c1,372$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.253256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes29c1,326$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.966850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes30c1,279$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.191250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes2c1,252$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9512351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes27c1,141$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7922743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No71c1,091$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.32653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes26c1,085$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.547548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes22c1,032$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6810451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f5…5526backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes24c990.54$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.783026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes30c958$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes30c958$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.422237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes26c828.93$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.525450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c799.99$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No70c759.82$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.954845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No76c746.71$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.788453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes22c742.58$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.075459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208b…9613backed Yes29c676.56$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4880%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes30c638.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.67538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes30c638.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.63828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa025…1607backed Yes29c635.69$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.481643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes26c575.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6512920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No72c572.84$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.414365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c549.99$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.642347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes29c536.27$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.121464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…6b1fbacked Yes29c526$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes28c512.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.521435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes28c512.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.524654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No70c504.99$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Yes19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No71c499.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1457255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed No75c492.5$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.12988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes29c491.91$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed No71c491.3$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.482259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No71c491.3$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.481952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No69c487.23$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.174353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes30c479$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.71435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No73c460.33$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.147160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes25c449.84$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.632941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes13c443.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8312044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c425.57$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Yes23c420.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c415.13$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5419042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a74…312fbacked No72c407.88$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No71c393.04$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.981855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes17c384.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.426924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No74c359.73$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.442365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c351.09$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3339354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.