CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb415ceb63b33538726384111d29d8e67597138c4e6fa0b43121926b5c8c7a342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $962,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,088,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $962,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Heroic | 67c | 56,798$37,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,854.59 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Heroic | 68c | 31,174$21,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,115.97 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Heroic | 66c | 27,249$17,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,264.75 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Heroic | 65c | 23,779$15,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.77 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Phantom | 32c | 20,879$6,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,681.3 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Heroic | 68c | 20,514$13,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.83 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Phantom | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Phantom | 37c | 17,972$6,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,707.38 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Phantom | 61c | 17,560$10,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,641.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Phantom | 34c | 17,495$5,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,905.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Phantom | 55c | 17,492$9,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,536.08 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 33c | 13,013$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phantom | 47c | 12,692$6,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,004.77 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Heroic | 73c | 12,576$9,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Phantom | 36c | 11,095$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.37 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phantom | 33c | 10,558$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.26 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Phantom | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…398abacked Phantom | 33c | 8,743$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phantom | 33c | 8,739$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.33 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Phantom | 36c | 8,337$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.38 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Heroic | 66c | 7,848$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.96 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic | 78c | 7,494$5,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.97 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom | 33c | 6,505$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.91 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Heroic | 55c | 6,420$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Phantom | 34c | 6,351$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.81 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Phantom | 32c | 6,213$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.62 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom | 32c | 5,996$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.87 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Phantom | 29c | 5,579$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.42 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic | 49c | 5,534$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.09 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Heroic | 68c | 5,326$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Phantom | 41c | 5,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Heroic | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…02e1backed Phantom | 41c | 4,801$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…d591backed Heroic | 64c | 4,701$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Phantom | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Heroic | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic | 57c | 4,473$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.13 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phantom | 32c | 4,405$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.85 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Phantom | 37c | 4,400$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phantom | 32c | 4,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Phantom | 31c | 3,907$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.73 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 40c | 3,893$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.36 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic | 36c | 3,799$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.26 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…b7d3backed Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…d580backed Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…bbfcbacked Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…5488backed Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ec06backed Phantom | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Phantom | 29c | 3,600$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.17 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Heroic | 69c | 3,581$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.08 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Phantom | 29c | 3,433$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.22 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Phantom | 33c | 3,073$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.5 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Heroic | 46c | 3,021$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.9 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Heroic | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Heroic | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Phantom | 37c | 3,000$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.21 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phantom | 37c | 2,810$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.8 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed Phantom | 38c | 2,768$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Phantom | 29c | 2,750$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Phantom | 30c | 2,637$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.52 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom | 44c | 2,576$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.97 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Heroic | 47c | 2,412$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Heroic | 68c | 2,218$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.63 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom | 45c | 2,116$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.36 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Phantom | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 33c | 1,976$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Phantom | 45c | 1,972$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.56 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Phantom | 49c | 1,958$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.85 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Phantom | 30c | 1,846$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.01 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Phantom | 32c | 1,808$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.47 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heroic | 44c | 1,782$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Phantom | 45c | 1,713$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.08 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom | 38c | 1,672$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Phantom | 32c | 1,662$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Heroic | 53c | 1,644$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.29 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Phantom | 8c | 1,600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Heroic | 74c | 1,592$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.93 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Phantom | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 30c | 1,513$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Phantom | 13c | 1,481$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.48 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Heroic | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Heroic | 62c | 1,413$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.91 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Phantom | 32c | 1,405$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.35 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Phantom | 19c | 1,358$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Phantom | 32c | 1,291$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.74 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Phantom | 21c | 1,284$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.89 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Phantom | 51c | 1,216$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.91 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Phantom | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Phantom | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 33c | 1,145$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Heroic | 67c | 1,120$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Phantom | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Phantom | 32c | 1,078$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic | 69c | 1,075$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.36 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.