CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f65dc3446c91764868eb89dcb9cb249d8456ef57f4d3fbf242f3f4e93091557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Heroic, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 61c | 3,466$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.26 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Heroic | 39c | 3,164$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.28 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Heroic | 47c | 2,838$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.37 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 37c | 2,603$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.82 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…02e1backed Phantom | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Heroic | 38c | 1,433$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.7 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic | 39c | 1,363$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 36c | 1,350$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.76 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom | 48c | 1,200$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.23 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Phantom | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Phantom | 55c | 860.24$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.11 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Phantom | 61c | 833.33$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Heroic | 38c | 816.31$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Phantom | 62c | 655.74$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.18 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Phantom | 60c | 566.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Phantom | 63c | 551.56$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Heroic | 43c | 549.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.99 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed Heroic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Heroic | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Heroic | 34c | 451.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Phantom | 60c | 433.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Heroic | 60c | 386.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.43 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Phantom | 65c | 384$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom | 62c | 375.6$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Phantom | 62c | 322.02$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heroic | 38c | 283.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Phantom | 61c | 273$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Heroic | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Heroic | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 56c | 226.44$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Heroic | 42c | 166.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Phantom | 61c | 159.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Phantom | 56c | 116.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Heroic | 41c | 110.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Phantom | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phantom | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…5507backed Phantom | 20c | 96.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Heroic | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phantom | 40c | 87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Phantom | 62c | 78.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Heroic | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Phantom | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Phantom | 57c | 51.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Phantom | 60c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Phantom | 63c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Heroic | 65c | 44.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked Phantom | 55c | 43.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Heroic | 80c | 37.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Heroic | 40c | 37.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Phantom | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Phantom | 62c | 29.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…863bbacked Phantom | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Phantom | 56c | 28.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Phantom | 59c | 17.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Heroic | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.