CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83b5debe3319c2a4f4cb717136acf18937608735563fa4a645a3208affb6c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Heroic, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Phantom | 57c | 24,504$13,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,564.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Heroic | 67c | 24,000$16,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,079.98 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Phantom | 43c | 22,219$9,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,605.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 45c | 12,521$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Phantom | 33c | 11,955$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.84 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Heroic | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Phantom | 34c | 9,795$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,464.9 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Phantom | 66c | 8,495$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.1 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Heroic | 21c | 8,421$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.67 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Heroic | 44c | 8,411$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.94 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Heroic | 28c | 7,000$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.49 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Phantom | 54c | 5,662$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.05 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heroic | 40c | 4,931$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.7 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic | 42c | 3,861$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed Heroic | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…d580backed Heroic | 8c | 3,690$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 50c | 3,633$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.34 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heroic | 67c | 3,034$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.87 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 68c | 2,890$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.97 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Heroic | 42c | 2,672$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.2 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Phantom | 31c | 2,646$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.81 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic | 75c | 2,616$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.57 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Heroic | 34c | 2,408$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.57 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Heroic | 42c | 2,348$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.67 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Phantom | 61c | 2,205$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.4 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Heroic | 69c | 2,125$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 48c | 2,028$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.69 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic | 28c | 1,863$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.61 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 35c | 1,752$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.03 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom | 52c | 1,691$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.52 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed Phantom | 47c | 1,690$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Phantom | 57c | 1,667$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.57 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Heroic | 41c | 1,580$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.8 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed Heroic | 67c | 1,571$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.57 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Heroic | 46c | 1,462$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Heroic | 75c | 1,449$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 29c | 1,428$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Phantom | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.41 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Phantom | 50c | 1,355$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.07 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Phantom | 33c | 1,255$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.17 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Heroic | 71c | 1,140$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.94 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Heroic | 33c | 1,131$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.13 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Phantom | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.74 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Phantom | 54c | 1,040$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic | 68c | 1,018$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Heroic | 51c | 964.2$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.09 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Heroic | 55c | 940.05$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.87 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 46c | 931.18$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.91 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Heroic | 32c | 922.93$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 33c | 907.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Heroic | 37c | 881.47$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.46 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Heroic | 66c | 864$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.52 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic | 53c | 858.11$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.59 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Heroic | 48c | 826.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Phantom | 42c | 818.91$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.86 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 38c | 800.32$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Heroic | 62c | 800.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Phantom | 69c | 765$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.7 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Heroic | 53c | 729.36$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.12 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heroic | 26c | 701.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Phantom | 32c | 675$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phantom | 54c | 658.66$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.88 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…9d51backed Heroic | 50c | 623.67$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Phantom | 37c | 620.88$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.38 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Phantom | 32c | 602.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Heroic | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Phantom | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Phantom | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Phantom | 69c | 596.27$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Phantom | 44c | 582.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 31c | 571.71$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.46 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Heroic | 57c | 571.56$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.57 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Phantom | 41c | 560.59$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.18 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Heroic | 40c | 520.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.81 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Heroic | 62c | 506.04$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Heroic | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…dc64backed Heroic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Heroic | 23c | 499.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 67c | 472.54$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.44 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Heroic | 40c | 470.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Phantom | 51c | 468.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Heroic | 27c | 463.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Phantom | 57c | 449.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 50c | 435.79$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.05 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Heroic | 62c | 425.49$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…a3ebbacked Phantom | 74c | 413.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Heroic | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Heroic | 42c | 389.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e79…1763backed Phantom | 53c | 374.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Phantom | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Heroic | 40c | 362.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Heroic | 45c | 360.71$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Heroic | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Heroic | 16c | 357$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Phantom | 79c | 351.29$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Heroic | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Phantom | 49c | 348.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Phantom | 34c | 334.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.03 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Heroic | 46c | 326.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.