CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8678804fb9d5f816eb73fb6f6bf24d5e496f24e0facba57ed1da77b0aed2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Heroic | 53c | 37,868$19,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,880.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Phantom | 42c | 16,589$6,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,896.34 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Phantom | 60c | 13,500$8,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,071.07 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phantom | 46c | 10,821$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.81 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Heroic | 57c | 5,222$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.08 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Phantom | 63c | 5,180$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.06 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 40c | 4,778$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Phantom | 78c | 4,565$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 60c | 4,410$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.61 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 42c | 3,750$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Heroic | 59c | 3,500$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.73 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Phantom | 42c | 3,365$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.62 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 41c | 3,224$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Phantom | 74c | 2,853$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.46 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…a089backed Phantom | 75c | 2,844$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Heroic | 58c | 2,339$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Heroic | 36c | 2,044$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.87 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Phantom | 35c | 1,974$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom | 55c | 1,810$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.15 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom | 35c | 1,633$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.35 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Phantom | 57c | 1,569$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 40c | 1,448$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Phantom | 46c | 1,388$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.25 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom | 39c | 1,357$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.93 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Phantom | 49c | 1,318$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.19 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked Heroic | 74c | 1,215$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.05 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Heroic | 33c | 1,196$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.19 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 54c | 1,141$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic | 61c | 1,021$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.31 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phantom | 48c | 994.57$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.98 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 59c | 929.41$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.41 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phantom | 50c | 925$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.87 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 15c | 800$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.37 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Heroic | 21c | 700$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Heroic | 48c | 695.64$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.59 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Phantom | 58c | 674.4$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…7437backed Heroic | 42c | 657.87$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Heroic | 63c | 635.33$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.41 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Heroic | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Phantom | 51c | 591.97$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Phantom | 52c | 554.03$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.79 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Heroic | 36c | 550.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.84 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Phantom | 43c | 516$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 49c | 514.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Heroic | 47c | 513.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.73 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Phantom | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Phantom | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed Phantom | 48c | 490.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Phantom | 53c | 471.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Phantom | 35c | 470$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.49 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Phantom | 44c | 465.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Phantom | 41c | 443.88$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Heroic | 26c | 442.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.66 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Heroic | 37c | 440$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 35c | 440$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.28 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Heroic | 36c | 435.84$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.93 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 52c | 426.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.46 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Phantom | 46c | 421.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Heroic | 62c | 405.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Heroic | 43c | 401.19$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Heroic | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.93 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Heroic | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Heroic | 65c | 388$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Heroic | 56c | 378.85$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Phantom | 48c | 377.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…6209backed Phantom | 35c | 373$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Phantom | 48c | 349.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Phantom | 39c | 349$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Heroic | 59c | 339.86$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Phantom | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Phantom | 41c | 325.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Heroic | 49c | 324.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Heroic | 39c | 319.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…9d51backed Heroic | 25c | 317.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Phantom | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heroic | 38c | 298$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.52 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed Heroic | 40c | 296.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 54c | 296$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Heroic | 42c | 294.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.09 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Heroic | 51c | 289$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Heroic | 41c | 284.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Phantom | 46c | 282.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Heroic | 51c | 277$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Heroic | 36c | 261.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Phantom | 46c | 260$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Heroic | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed Phantom | 39c | 253.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Phantom | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Phantom | 42c | 247.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Phantom | 60c | 244.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Heroic | 51c | 243.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Phantom | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Phantom | 64c | 220$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…b83dbacked Heroic | 60c | 214.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Heroic | 41c | 207.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Heroic | 21c | 205$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phantom | 39c | 202.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Heroic | 40c | 200.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.